Betting Odds and Predictions For UFC 269 on Dec 11
The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) will host its final pay-per-view card on Dec 11. UFC 269 will occur at the T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada, and feature two title fights like most of the recent UFC pay-per-view cards.
A total of 11 fights are scheduled to take place on this card, and there are some great fights on the prelims and the early prelims. The main event will be a UFC lightweight title fight between champ Charles Oliveira and number one contender Dustin Poirier. The co-main event will be headlined by a UFC bantamweight champ between Amanda Nunes and challenger Julianna Pena.
We take a look at the main and co-main events, along with two other exciting fights on this card. Our MMA experts provide a breakdown of these fights, look at the odds and share their predictions below.
Charles Oliveira vs. Dustin Poirier
This will be the first time that Charles Oliveira defends his lightweight championship, and he has a tough challenge before him as he is facing former interim lightweight champ Dustin Poirier who is coming in strong after beating Conor McGregor twice. Poirier is a great boxer who has an underrated ground game, while Oliveira is a great submission artist with underrated boxing.
They say styles make matches, and this fight has all the ingredients for a Fight of the Night contender. The champ goes in as the underdog with odds of 2.30, while the challenger Poirier is currently the favorite with odds of 1.62.
If Oliveira decides to stand and trade shots with Poirier, we think that Poirier will get the better of Oliveira. The champ’s best chance of successfully defending his belt is to mix up his strategy with stand up, clinch work, and get Poirier to the ground and submit him.
Poirier struggled with his ground game when he fought former champ Khabib Nurmagomedov as Khabib had no problem taking Poirier down and submitting him. We believe if Poirier can stop the takedown, he will win. We are going to put our money on Poirier to win this fight.
Amanda Nunes vs. Julianna Pena
Amanda Nunes has been unstoppable in both the bantamweight and featherweight divisions. The two-division Brazilian champ has run through all of her challengers, and the UFC is now finding it difficult to find worthy contenders for her. Nunes has admitted that she is thinking of walking away as she has accomplished everything she has wanted in the sport and is now considered the Greatest of All Time (GOAT) in the women’s division.
Her latest challenger at bantamweight is another Brazilian in Juliana Pena. She is the biggest underdog on the card with odds of 6.50, while Nunes is the favorite with odds of 1.12. From Pena’s past fights, we know that she just does not have the power or the boxing skills to stand and throw down with Nunes.
Her best chance of pulling off an upset is to take Nunes down and submit her. This is going to be difficult for Pena because Nunes is no slouch on the ground. Nunes is also the bigger and stronger fighter, making it more difficult for Pena to take her to the ground and submit her.
We are going with the sportsbooks and back Nunes to retain her title yet again.
Raulian Paiva vs. Sean O’Malley
Sugar Sean O’Malley will open the main card when he takes on Raulian Paiva in a bantamweight fight. O’Malley goes in as the favorite with odds of 1.33, while Paiva has odds of 3.40.
O’Malley has been criticized for not stepping up and fighting someone in the top 10 or 15. Paiva is not a ranked opponent, but he is a very tough and durable fighter, and we expect this to be a good fight. We are going to back Paiva to pull off an upset and beat Sugar Sean.
Pedro Munhoz vs. Dominic Cruz
You don’t want to miss this fight as former bantamweight champ Dominic Cruz will take on the hard-hitting Pedro Munhoz. This is the first time in a long time that Cruz will be fighting on the prelims. Bookmakers have both fighters at 1.90 as they believe it is too close to call.
This will be a great fight as Munhoz is one of the hardest-hitting fighters at bantamweight while Cruz is one of the hardest fighters to hit a bantamweight because of his excellent footwork and head movement. Cruz cannot afford to get caught with a punch as Munhoz can end it with one punch.
Cruz does not have the power to knock Munhoz out, so his best chance of winning is by decision. We are going to back Munhoz to win this fight.